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Thread: Longhoods a dying breed (Musicman & Tracer 12/2008)?

  1. #101
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    The 379 exhd and the W-9 may be the only two that eventually survive, certainly the 379 exhd. I don’t believe resale values will hold to offset the loss in mpg differences.

    Rev, just 1mpg is a lot per year and bigger over a 4-year trade cycle. It’s especially important if you can no longer get more money than a 387 etc. We saw that in Q4/07 and early 08 already, especially when fuel spiked. It’s currently softened a bit with fuel down. If fleets aren’t buying them, it’s going to depend on how many o/o’s survive to keep hood prices up. I know many o/o’s who won’t buy hoods anymore either. Just ask Musicman when he’s on the blog.

    Yes, the last 9 years of fuel increases didn't have the biggest driving force either. It came about more in the last 4 years. Since the EPA got involved and more recently when fuel went up, combined with the lower mpg’s of EPA-motors (but I've said that already!). Time will tell...

    Alan, you said it well as far as overall truck sales being down and hood-sales being down even more. As for CAT and the banner at the trade show, go figure?…Sounds like the marketing dept wasn’t let in on the plans the board-of-directors had. Probably on purpose!

  2. #102
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    Quote Originally Posted by possum View Post
    I rather make more money than the truck look good.



    I think I've read this somewhere before.

  3. #103
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    Quote Originally Posted by Beachcomber View Post
    Even areo at faster speeds causes more resistance......But much less than a long hood’s resistance at any speed. Either way, arguably “Aero” equals more mpg.
    No that's not necessarily true as we established in anoter thread recently..

    Say a flatbed guy is looking to buy a used truck. What does he do? Buy a high rise volvo because he read on CAD that aero trucks save $15,000 a year? In fact, a high rise aero truck might well get poorer fuel mileage than a flat top long hood for his application.

  4. #104
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    Quote Originally Posted by rank View Post
    Say a flatbed guy is looking to buy a used truck. What does he do? Buy a high rise volvo because he read on CAD that aero trucks save $15,000 a year? In fact, a high rise aero truck might well get poorer fuel mileage than a flat top long hood for his application.
    You're just jealous I'm pulling a step with a high rise Volvo :P

    LOL

  5. #105
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    Quote Originally Posted by heavyhaulerss View Post
    I think I've read this somewhere before.
    Don't think it was me was it?

  6. #106
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    Quote Originally Posted by rank View Post
    No that's not necessarily true as we established in anoter thread recently..

    Say a flatbed guy is looking to buy a used truck. What does he do? Buy a high rise volvo because he read on CAD that aero trucks save $15,000 a year? In fact, a high rise aero truck might well get poorer fuel mileage than a flat top long hood for his application.
    We've acknowledged here that specialty trucks may have a different niche. That's not a representative impact by any volume to more than 3 million trucks on the road. We're referring to the mainstream in the overview here. Some flat bedders have told me they don't always get better mpg than a box with all the changes in air currents moving around the various load configurations.

    Plus I'm not sure you're correct anyway about hoods helping flats mpg? Companies like Arrow and Anderson Truck Service are running areo more & more. Take a look at the trucks they show on their website...Almost all, even HH are pictured with areo trucks. I'd question if even they are ordering hoods anymore? Like it or not it's where the transitional market's, we are in the midst of, have been going lately...

    Click here > Anderson Trucking: Specialized Trucking

  7. #107
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    A flatbed is a "specialty truck"?

  8. #108
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    Maybe not in the classic niche market sense of the word? How about special application maybe? Smaller numbers than box or reefer. Point being, they may meet different criteria than in the overview main areas we are talking about here. I still think they may benefit from areo though. Not sure.

    Alan5oh could tell us what he's experienced with his Volvo pulling Flat's (and a step no-less!)? I'll bet he use to run a hood/flats.

  9. #109
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    Quote Originally Posted by possum View Post
    Don't think it was me was it?

    NO. lol. I have mentioned this a few times in the past.

  10. #110
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    Quote Originally Posted by Beachcomber View Post
    I'll bet he use to run a hood/flats.
    I'll take it! How much?
    Pessimist,- is just well informed optimist!

  11. #111
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    Quote Originally Posted by Beachcomber View Post
    Alan5oh could tell us what he's experienced with his Volvo pulling Flat's (and a step no-less!)? I'll bet he use to run a hood/flats.
    I've only driven a few miles with this setup. We'll see.

    But now I have a huge problem. Got a trailer shop to install a box, told them how to install it(weld brackets to the bottom of the deck). Yet they drilled through the main beam. See other thread.

  12. #112
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    [quote]Plus I'm not sure you're correct anyway about hoods helping flats mpg? Companies like Arrow and Anderson Truck Service are running areo more & more. Take a look at the trucks they show on their website...Almost all, even HH are pictured with areo trucks.[quote]
    I went to that site. None of the 4 trucks shown are are aero...they all have side stacks and none have fairings. And horror of horrors, one may even be a W900L. And none are high rise bunks.

    I saw a 2 long nose Pete's today that were pulling dump boxes. They had the mid rise bunk that was the same height as the trailer and they had the same length of hood as a 379, but they were more of a sloped needle nose design and they had that narrow ---dare I say aerodynamic---cab that is so common in a long hood. Contrast that with the so called (cough, choke) "aero" designed pete with it's massive wide and high cab....hell those bulbous pigs aren't far from a cabover.

    I say again, there is more to being slippery than the length of your hood.

  13. #113
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    [QUOTE=rank;434121][quote]Plus I'm not sure you're correct anyway about hoods helping flats mpg? Companies like Arrow and Anderson Truck Service are running areo more & more. Take a look at the trucks they show on their website...Almost all, even HH are pictured with areo trucks.

    Did you ever think they be buying aero trucks for the set back axle, not the aero dynamics, it's hard to get 20,000 on a steer axle with a set foward axle.

  14. #114
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    Quote Originally Posted by allan5oh View Post
    Really?

    I seem to recall just a few months before the announced pull out that they were "here for the long haul". This was at MATS or GATS.
    Here's what Transport Topics was quoting the pres of Transport Forecasting to say about the decline in CAT's market share and the horrible mpg with the stricter 07/08 EPA regs:>

    "In 2006, Caterpillar held a leading 28.3% of the Class 8 market, versus 25% for Cummins (10-8, p. 5).

    In June, Caterpillar said it would stop selling heavy-duty truck engines in the United States after 2009 (6-16, p. 1).

    “Many of the truckers were already moving away from Cat prior to the announcement [of its withdrawal],” Eric Starks, president of transport forecasting firm FTR Associates, Nashville, Ind., told Transport Topics. “This change happened in fairly short order during 2007 and derived from the problems Caterpillar had getting their engine up to standards.”


    Here's another from the article:> "Chris Brady, president of Commercial Motor Vehicle Consulting, Long Island, N.Y., said that because Caterpillar did not disclose its intention to halt production of heavy duty engines until mid-June, data for the first half of 2008 did not show whether Caterpillar will suffer a further deep drop-off in sales."

    Here's the full article:> Transport Topics Online | Cummins Adds to Market Share in 2008 as Caterpillar?s Engine Sales Decline

  15. #115
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    [QUOTE=rank;434121]
    I saw a 2 long nose Pete's today that were pulling dump boxes. They had the mid rise bunk that was the same height as the trailer and they had the same length of hood as a 379, but they were more of a sloped needle nose design and they had that narrow ---dare I say aerodynamic---cab that is so common in a long hood. Contrast that with the so called (cough, choke) "aero" designed pete with it's massive wide and high cab....hell those bulbous pigs aren't far from a cabover.
    Yes Rank... I heard the same comparison in Q3/07 when things started slowing for hood sales. I was bidding on a couple of wholesale priced higher miles 05 379 exhd's w/Platinum 18 spd's & C-15's. They (10) were from a small fleet operator out of Orlando. Who ran his trucks West Coast turns with reefers.

    I talked to the previous trade-in owner (to Rush Pete) who told me he was a 15-year longhood CAT man. What changed my mind was when he told me he was sick of the horrible mileage he got from them and had traded-in for all 387's w/Cummins. Even though most of his drivers called them "a cabover with a hood" and they'd quite for another job driving longhoods. He said "too bad, and after running them a while, he'd never go back". Rush’s wholesaler pretty much confirmed the initial trend occurring throughout the industry.

    By the way, only one driver quite then came back anyway...

    "A cabover with a hood" ...Yep! But they get more mpg's, especially with Cummins! Same for Volvo 670/780's, KW T600's /T-660’s or T-2000's & Pete 386's, which for areo-cabs are the ones with the best resale values. :
    Last edited by Beachcomber; 01-16-2009 at 11:27 AM.

  16. #116
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    And before ACERT they had over 40% of the market. Last I checked they were around 10%.

  17. #117
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    Quote Originally Posted by allan5oh View Post
    Last I checked they were around 10%.
    Allan, there is certain difference between "quantity" and "quality". "Seiko" sure has bigger market share, than "Omega". Does it means, that "Omega" is a worse watch?
    Pessimist,- is just well informed optimist!

  18. #118
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    Quote Originally Posted by allan5oh View Post
    And before ACERT they had over 40% of the market. Last I checked they were around 10%.
    Per my previous comments...because they had too much trouble meeting the 07/08 stricter standards, due to all the additionally required emission devices that were added to the 07/08 engines. From what I hear, all new next generation engines are having problems.

    Just didn't have the will to hang with unrealistic big-gov regs any longer!

  19. #119
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    Quote Originally Posted by solo379 View Post
    Allan, there is certain difference between "quantity" and "quality". "Seiko" sure has bigger market share, than "Omega". Does it means, that "Omega" is a worse watch?
    When they're both in the same price market, yes it would mean they're a worse watch because the market has clearly spoken.

    Cat is a loser.

  20. #120
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    Quote Originally Posted by allan5oh View Post

    Cat is a loser.
    Following that logic, the biggest "loser", was WS, b4 Freightshaker got em....
    Pessimist,- is just well informed optimist!

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